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2026年05月29日

From "Rein It In" to "Learn From It" — The Day NYSE's Parent ICE Treated Hyperliquid as a Teacher, Not a Threat

「潰す」から「学ぶ」へ──NYSE親会社ICE、Hyperliquidを脅威ではなく教材と認めた日

■ What "not freaked out" really means

At Bernstein's 42nd Annual Strategic Decisions Conference, Sprecher called Hyperliquid "bigger than Nasdaq" in trading activity, noted it is "11 people," and disclosed that his team has met its founders multiple times. By his account, ICE and Hyperliquid are learning from each other's models. Hyperliquid is a platform where traders can bet on price moves 24/7 via perpetual contracts with no expiry, and it commands more than 70% of the decentralized perpetuals market — even trading oil derivatives on weekends when ICE's own markets are closed.

■ The question is a "level playing field"

Under U.S. law, the perpetual futures Hyperliquid offers are classified as swaps under the Dodd-Frank Act, subject to reporting, margining, and dealer registration. ICE operates under those rules; offshore Hyperliquid does not. "Why are you prohibiting us from doing this when it's already happening? And can't we have a level playing field?" Sprecher asked regulators. He expects policymakers to choose within months between creating a new category for perpetual futures or pulling offshore venues under Dodd-Frank and the EU's EMIR. Just two days later, the gap began to close: on May 29, the CFTC approved Kalshi to list Bitcoin perpetual futures (BTCPERP), and Coinbase said it can now connect U.S. institutional clients to global crypto options and perpetual-futures liquidity via its CFTC-regulated futures business. Products beyond Bitcoin, however, still face case-by-case review.

■ Price discovery moves onto "crypto rails"

Sprecher framed SpaceX as a near-term test of whether prices formed on crypto venues matter before a company lists publicly. Traders are already using perpetual futures to bet on SpaceX's expected listing price months ahead of any IPO, averaging nearly $18 million in daily volume over two weeks (Bloomberg). Ultan Miller, CEO of private-markets infrastructure firm Hecto Finance, observed that price discovery for companies like SpaceX is "increasingly happening on crypto rails" before a bank syndicate even files IPO paperwork. Notably, ICE itself took a $200 million minority stake in OKX in March and partnered on oil perpetuals — moving to capture the same 24/7 demand.

##[Business Development Insights]

  1. This is the beginning of the end of "regulatory arbitrage." The asymmetry between offshore-unregulated and onshore-regulated venues fueled Hyperliquid's rise, but regulators, incumbents, and challengers are now all gravitating toward a "level playing field." Operators that secure compliance-aligned rails early gain a structural edge once arbitrage disappears — a favorable direction for players that prioritize Japanese regulation.
  2. The main battleground for infrastructure shifts from "the exchange" to "the 24/7 on-chain base." The SpaceX case reveals a paradox: on-chain transparency and immediacy matter most in the most opaque arenas — pre-IPO and private markets. A fresh demand horizon opens for infrastructure providers that can offer institutional-grade, always-on, compliance-ready bases.
  3. The strategy of giant incumbents has flipped from "eliminate" to "absorb." ICE took a stake in OKX right after seeking tighter oversight of Hyperliquid, and is now in dialogue with it. Expect M&A, equity stakes, and partnerships to accelerate — making acquisition or strategic partnership an increasingly realistic exit for Web3 infrastructure and node-focused startups.

[Sources]

Supervisor

Akihisa Ishida

Cabinet Inc. Founder CEO

Since 2017, He has been consistently engaged in token and NFT utilization, blockchain game planning and development, and NFT-based business development. Having contributed to over 80 blockchain products—including projects for major entertainment companies listed in Tokyo Stock Exchange —He has served in various key roles such as Business Lead, Designer, PM, and Advisor. In 2021, founded Cabinet Inc.

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